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The Black Swam: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

Afbeelding van The Black Swam: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

Beschrijving

What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', The Black Swan shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.

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€ 20,15

Tussen 3 en 25 werkdagen geleverd


Specificaties

ISBN/EAN9780141034591
TypeBoek

Publicatie

AuteurTaleb
UitgeverPenguin Books Ltd